1. Suppose there are 4 bags. Bag 1 contains 1 black and $$a^{2}$$ - 6a + 9 red balls, bag 2 contains 3 black and $$a^{2}$$ - 6a + 7 red balls, bag 3 contains 5 black and $$a^{2}$$ - 6a + 5 red balls and bag 4 contains 7 black and $$a^{2}$$ - 6a + 3 red balls. A ball is drawn at random from a randomly chosen bag. The maximum value of probability that the selected ball is black, is
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By: anil on 05 May 2019 02.39 am
Let us take the value of $$a^2 - 6a + 3 = x$$.
Thus, the number of red balls in bag 1 = x+6
The number of red balls in bag 2 = x+4
The number of red balls in bag 3 = x+2
The number of red balls in bag 4 = x
The total balls in Bag 1 = $$3+x+6 = x+9$$
The total balls in Bag 2 = $$5+x+4 = x+9$$
The total balls in Bag 3 = $$7+x+2 = x+9$$
The total balls in Bag 4 = $$9+x = x+9$$
Thus, the probability that the black is selected from each of the bags is as shown:-
Bag 1 =$$dfrac{3}{x+9}$$
Bag 2 =$$dfrac{5}{x+9}$$
Bag 3 =$$dfrac{7}{x+9}$$
Bag 4 =$$dfrac{9}{x+9}$$
The total probability that a black ball will be selected =
$$dfrac{1}{4}$$*($$dfrac{3}{x+9}$$+$$dfrac{5}{x+9}$$+$$dfrac{7}{x+9}$$+$$dfrac{9}{x+9}$$)
= $$dfrac{4}{x+9}$$
The maximum value will occur at $$x=0$$ and that will be $$dfrac{4}{9}$$
Hence, option D is the correct answer.
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Thus, the number of red balls in bag 1 = x+6
The number of red balls in bag 2 = x+4
The number of red balls in bag 3 = x+2
The number of red balls in bag 4 = x
The total balls in Bag 1 = $$3+x+6 = x+9$$
The total balls in Bag 2 = $$5+x+4 = x+9$$
The total balls in Bag 3 = $$7+x+2 = x+9$$
The total balls in Bag 4 = $$9+x = x+9$$
Thus, the probability that the black is selected from each of the bags is as shown:-
Bag 1 =$$dfrac{3}{x+9}$$
Bag 2 =$$dfrac{5}{x+9}$$
Bag 3 =$$dfrac{7}{x+9}$$
Bag 4 =$$dfrac{9}{x+9}$$
The total probability that a black ball will be selected =
$$dfrac{1}{4}$$*($$dfrac{3}{x+9}$$+$$dfrac{5}{x+9}$$+$$dfrac{7}{x+9}$$+$$dfrac{9}{x+9}$$)
= $$dfrac{4}{x+9}$$
The maximum value will occur at $$x=0$$ and that will be $$dfrac{4}{9}$$
Hence, option D is the correct answer.