Probability of a lO-year flood to occur at least once in the next 4 years is ?->(Show Answer!)

1. Probability of a lO-year flood to occur at least once in the next 4 years is

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MCQ-> Analyze the following passage and provide appreciate answers for the questions that follow. Ideas involving the theory probability play a decisive part in modern physics. Yet we will still lack a satisfactory, consistence definition of probability; or, what amounts to much the same, we still lack a satisfactory axiomatic system for the calculus of probability. The relations between probability and experience are also still in need of clarification. In investigating this problem we shall discover what will at first seem an almost insuperable objection to my methodological views. For although probability statements play such a vitally important role in empirical science, they turn out to be in principle impervious to strict falsification. Yet this very stumbling block will become a touchstone upon which to test my theory, in order to find out what it is worth. Thus, we are confronted with two tasks. The first is to provide new foundations for the calculus of probability. This I shall try to do by developing the theory of probability as a frequency theory, along the lines followed by Richard von Mises, But without the use of what he calls the ‘axiom of convergence’ (or ‘limit axiom’) and with a somewhat weakened ‘axiom of randomness’ The second task is to elucidate the relations between probability and experience. This means solving what I call the problem of decidability statements. My hope is that the investigations will help to relieve the present unsatisfactory situation in which physicists make much use of probabilities without being able to say, consistently, what they mean by ‘probability’.The statement, “The relations between probability and experience are still in need of clarification” implies that:
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MCQ-> Study the following information carefully and answer the question given below: Following are the conditions for selecting Senior Manager Credit in a bank The candidate must (i) be a graduate in any discipline with at least 60 per cent marks (ii) have post-qualification work experience of at least ten years in the Advances Section of a bank. (iii) be at least 30 years and not more than 40 years as on 1.4.2010 (iv) have secured at least 40 per cent marks in the Group Discussion (v) have secured at least 50 per cent marks in the Interview In the case of a candidate who satisfies all the conditions EXCEPT (A) at (i) above but has secured at least 50 per cent marks in graduation and at least 60 per cent marks in post- graduation in any discipline the case is to be referred to the General Manager Advances (B) at (ii) above but has total post qualification work experience of at least seven years out of which at least three years as Manager Credit in a bank the case is to be referred to the Executive Director In each question below details of one candidate are given you have to take one of the following courses of action based on the information provided and the conditions and sub conditions given above and mark the number of that course of action as your answer You are not to assume anything other than the information provided in each question All these cases are given to you as on 01-04-2010Shobha Gupta has secured 50 per cent marks in the Interview and 40 per cent marks in the Group Discussion She has been working for the past eight years out of which four years as Manager Credit in a bank after completing her BA degree with 60 per cent marks She was born on 12th September 1978
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MCQ-> Following are the conditions for selecting Senior Manager-Credit in a bank. The candidate must:(i) be a graduate in any discipline with atleast 60 percent marks.(ii) have post qualification work experience of at least ten years in the Advances Section of a bank.(iii) be at least 30 years and not more than 40 years as on 1.4.2010.(iv) have secured at least 40 percent marks in the group discussion.(v) have secured at least 50 percent marks in interview.In the case of a candidate who satisfies all the conditions EXCEPT:(A) at (i) above but has secured at least 50 percent marks in graduation and at least 60 percent marks in post graduation in any discipline the case is to be referred to the General Manager Advances.(B) at (ii) above but has total post qualification work experience of at least seven years out of which at least three years as Manager-Credit in a bank, the case is to be referred to Executive Director.In each question below details of one candidate is given. You have to take one of the following courses of action based on the information provided and the conditions and sub-conditions given above and mark the number of that course of action as your answer. You are not to assume anything other than the information provided in each question. All these cases are given to you as on 01.04.2010.Shobha Gupta has secured 50 percent marks in the Interview and 40 percent marks in the Group Discussion. She has been working for the past eight years out of which four years as Manager-Credit in a bank after completing her B. A. degree with 60 percent marks. She was born on 12th September 1978.
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