1. According to the author, why is prediction difficult in history?
(A): Historical explanations are usually broad so that no prediction is possible. (B): Historical out comers depend upon a large number of factors and hence predictions is difficult for each case. (C): Historical sciences, by their very nature, are not interested in a multitude of minor factors, which might be important in a specific historical outcome. (D): Historians are interested in evolution of human history and hence are only interested in log term predictions. (E): Historical sciences suffer from the inability to conduct controlled experiments and therefore have explanations based on a few long term factors.
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